No way of really knowing.
What does 8,000 cycles mean exactly ?
Does it mean all cells fall over completely dead at 8,001 hours ?
Or does it mean that by the time you reach 8,000 hours half the cells have failed and needed to be replaced along the way, and 8,000 is the AVERAGE expected lifetime ?
I have thirty cells that have now been in constant solar service for 6.5 years.
Three cells failed dead short circuit over the first three years, one by one, almost like clockwork.
I was anticipating another failure at the four year mark, but it never happened.
No more cell failures after reaching the three year mark.
I am no statistician, but the first cell failed after probably only about 360 cycles.
The survivors are still going strong after at least 2,500 cycles.
What does it all mean ?
I have no idea.